Winback Roadmap™ (alpha) demo · Hand-crafted sample data · not a real client

LTV & Retention

Where your customer value comes from and the levers that grow it: cohorts, first-product paths, reorder cadence, and the segments worth the most. This demo runs on sample data; your version runs on your own order history.

Data as of May 13, 2026
Revenue basis
Lifecycle windows
Tier 0 · Customer economics

Your customer economics at a glance

What a first-year customer is worth, how many come back for a second order, and how fast. Every number states its measurement window.

Subscribers are 28% of your customers and 53% of your customer revenue. Over 365 days a subscriber is worth $142 versus $48 for a one-time customer.
Subscribers 28%One-time 72%
Customer LTV (365-day)gross
$74
revenue per customer in their first year
$52
90d
$61
180d
$74
365d
Repeat purchase rate (365-day)
34%
first-time buyers who place a second order
14%
90d
23%
180d
34%
365d
Average order value
$43.10
trailing 12 months · +3.1% YoY
Orders per customer (first 365 days)
1.7
3.1 among customers with two or more orders
Active subscriptions
9,200
net +410 in the last 90 days · 3x a one-time customer's 365-day value
Median days between orders
68
1st to 2nd order, trailing 12 months · sets your winback clock
LTV and repeat rate are measured from each customer's first order and include only customers old enough to complete each window. A 365-day figure never mixes in customers acquired last month.
Tier 1 · Cohort LTV

How each month's new customers mature

Each month's new customers, tracked from their first order: what they spent on day one and everything they've added since. Young cohorts are greyed because they haven't had time to mature, so they're never compared against older ones.

CohortSizeAcq vs retention / custLTV to dateRepeat
Jan 202512,400
$44 acq · $17 ret
$6131%
Feb 202511,800
$43 acq · $14 ret
$5728%
Mar 202513,100
$45 acq · $11 ret
$5624%
Apr 202512,900
$44 acq · $8 ret
$5219%
May 2025immature13,400
$46 acq · $5 ret
$5114%
Jun 2025immature14,100
$47 acq · $2 ret
$498%
Acquisition revenueRetention revenue
Same cohort, one year apart. The 2024 cohort matured to $72 per customer vs $61 today.
M0M1M2M3M4M5M6
2025 Jan cohort2024 Jan cohort
Tier 2 · LTV by first product

The first thing they buy predicts everything

The first product a customer buys sets their trajectory. Sort by any column to see which entry products bring volume and which bring value, then click a product to see what its buyers do next.

First productFirst-time buyersFirst-order AOVRepeat rate (90d)Median days to 2nd365-day LTV
Daily Wash GATEWAY→ Opportunity41,200$189%61d
$38
The Everyday Tee CORE22,500$2818%74d
$66
Everyday Crew 3-Pack CORE18,900$3424%68d
$90
The Essentials Bundle BUNDLE9,400$7241%52d
$205
Canvas Weekender GIFT6,100$987%132d
$128
Daily Wash is the gateway: 41K first-time buyers, 9% repeat, $38 first-year value. The Essentials Bundle earns 5.4x that on a quarter of the volume.
Tier 3 · Reorder cadence & churn risk

When they come back, and when they don't

How quickly customers reorder, and when a quiet customer becomes a lost one. The gap between orders shrinks as customers buy more, and that cadence sets the timing for your winback and re-engagement programs.

Time between orders, by order number
68d
1st → 2nd
54d
2nd → 3rd
47d
3rd → 4th
41d
4th → 5th+
Over 60% of repeat orders land within three months
5%
<1
14%
1
19%
2
27%
3
11%
4
7%
5
17%
6+
Board view: monthly reorder frequency (bars) and rolling 12-month return rate (line)
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun
Avg orders / returning customerRolling 12-mo return rate
Lifecycle windows: frequency-adjusted → Opportunity
Active
< 68 days
118,400
customers
Dormant
68 to 136 days (1 to 2x median)
21,900
customers
Lapsed
136 to 204 days (2 to 3x median)
38,400
customers
Lost
204+ days (3x+ median)
84,200
customers
Anchored to this store's 68-day median gap between orders. Thresholds scale with how often a customer actually buys.
Tier 4 · Segment cuts

Which customers are worth the most

The same 365-day customer value, split by the dimensions you can act on: subscription status, marketing consent, and acquisition moment. Channel-level value joins this view once your store data is connected.

365-day LTV per customer: subscribers vs one-time
Subscription
$142
One-time
$48
365-day LTV per customer: by marketing consent
Email + SMS
$78
Email only
$52
No marketing consent
$31
365-day LTV per customer: by acquisition moment
BFCM 2024 cohort
$96
Store baseline
$74
By acquisition channel With store data
First-order LTV by landing source, referring channel, and campaign, sourced from your store's order data. True per-ad LTV needs an attribution layer on top.
Tier 5 · Prospect conversion

Signup to first order

How fast new email and SMS signups become buyers, and how quickly the window closes. Most first orders land right after signup; the welcome sequence decides how many of the rest you capture.

When converting email signups place their first order → Opportunity
Same day
42%
Days 1 to 30
50%
After day 30
8%
6.8% of email signups convert within 90 days.
When converting SMS signups place their first order
Same day
38%
Days 1 to 30
55%
After day 30
7%
9.4% of SMS signups convert within 90 days.
What powers this page

Built on your data

Today this view runs on your marketing-platform data: order counts, order values, and campaign- and flow-attributed revenue. Connecting your order history unlocks the cohort, first-product, and reorder views at full depth; connecting your store adds acquisition-channel value. This demo shows the finished destination on sample data.